Aug
7
Here are the numbers from my August 5, 2010 searches in the Lancaster County MLS:
Active Listings UA Listings Ratio Prior year Ratio
Aug 5, 2010 3,475 608 17.49% 28.20%
Jul 7, 2010 3,409 582 17.07% 28.83%
Jun 4, 2010 3,310 830 25.08% 28.62%
May 7, 2010 3,301 1,040 31.51% 28.15%
Apr, 7, 2010 3,344 830 24.82% 22.44% (keep in mind that this is useful
Mar 7, 2010 3,089 666 21.56% 19.38% in watching trends emerge and
Feb 6, 2010 2,931 554 18.90% 16.37% change in the market)
Jan 7, 2010 2,772 413 14.89% 16.05%
In reviewing the numbers appears the market has lost some strength and activity in the last two months. Showing activity has been lower lately for me and for other agents as well. But, there are still people looking at homes and making purchase choices. They are doing this because of changes in their life that require moving. These changes are related to job changes, families growing or shrinking, and other motivations. The people that are buying are happy with the interest rates they are finding in the market. The lower rates help keep their monthly payments lower or enables them to purchase more home. It may be less active right now than other years, but the hot summer will soon be over, children will be back to school, and summer vacations will be memories.
Recently, I learned of some industries seeing a surge in orders, increasing hours that employees are working, and showing profitability in their financial reports. This is good news for our economy and for employment. Someone said that “in every expansion of the economy are the seeds for a contraction, and in every contraction are the seeds for an expansion.”
We have a chart prepared by our Homesale Lending people that illustrates interest rate levels over the past almost 40 years. With the low levels of rates and the quantity of available homes, now is a great time to buy. The currently low rates help both buyers and sellers accomplish their objectives of finding a different home. To view the chart, please click on this link: history repeat itself - interest rates.pdf
Many of us in the Real Estate industry believe that rates will not continue to stay at these low levels indefinitely, and when rates rise they will not likely go back down to the current levels anytime soon. What that indicates for the environment in the real estate market is not clear to me, but if it is harder for buyers to purchase, that makes it harder for sellers to sell.
If you know someone who is thinking of buying or selling, please recommend they call me. I’ll also be happy to contact them if that is appropriate. By the way, I’m never too busy to take great care of clients you refer to me.
Prepared by:
J. Merle Sollenberger, GRI, CRS, Associate Broker, Realtor®
Prudential Homesale Services Group
150 North Pointe Boulevard
Lancaster, PA 17601
717-560-9100
http://www.msollenberger.com
msollenberger@topproducer.com
Licensed in PA
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